MWC says it could be a very small conservative majority i.e. 3 – 5 MPs, but thinks that the conservatives will be the largest party without a majority is actually more likely. Last few polls suggest a drop in LibDem support and a small increase in Labour support.
Before the election was called most experts stated that the Tories would need a 40% showing in the polls to get a majority. However, the election will be decided in about 70 or so marginal seats, the one poll I saw on that predict that the Tories would get the seats needed to have a majority.
My gut feeling is that it will be no overall majority, the conservative need an all time high historic swing in voters switching to them from Labour and I just don’t see it happening plus think that there will be tactical voting between Labour and LibDems to keep the Tories out.
